The NFL takes a few week to settle in, and now in Week 6 the big boys crushed it. Favorites won 13 of 14 games and won every single game – only the Eagles didn’t cover the spread. Kinda unheard of in 2024 and the NFL in general.
Week 6 Recap
- 49ers Back on Track – SF after a 2 game skid went into SEA and lit up the SEA D with 36 points. SEA’s hot start has been tempered with 3 straight losses in this 36-24 loss.
- Caleb Delivers – I have been very skeptical in the #1 Overall Pick, Caleb Williams, but over the past 3 weeks, he has stepped up. Going to London, it could have been a down spot for him, even playing the Jaguars. Still, Caleb did everything to get the easy win (35-16) in his first trip to London – 23 of 29, 226 yards passing, 4 TDs, 1 INT plus 56 yards rushing. I hope to see it more against the better opponents.
- Ravens Stop Streak – WAS had been white hot coming into BAL, and the Ravens did what they needed to slow down Daniels and the Commanders. Lamar did his thing – 323 passing yards, 40 yards rushing and 2 TDs. Derrick Henry ran well with 124 yards and 2 TDs. The D finally stepped up to slow the Commanders to only 52 yards, but they were competitive, 30-23.
- Lions Destroy Cowboys – The Bye Week did DET good, as both the O and D did great. The pummeled the Boys (who are now 0-3 at home this year) on the ground, 184 yards and on D forced 5 TOs in the game. HC Mike McCarthy has to be on the hot seat after this one. The Lions’ 47-9 win but took a huge loss in DE Aidan Hutchinson broke his leg in a horrific way and will be out for the season.
- Bills Outlast the Jets – The Jets did play better after HC Robert Saleh was fired, but a lot of offensive drives stalled inside the red zone and 2 missed FGs allowed QB Josh Allen and the Bills to get the big divisional win in NY, 23-20.
Predictions: S/U 3-1, ATS 2-2, Total 3-1 – Jets result hurt my perfect week.
Fantasy Pick Ups in Week 7
- QB Aaron Rodgers, NYJ – You may say – he’s already taken, but double check. He is only 56% owned in CBS leagues, and now with the acquisition of WR Davante Adams, he should improve. Garrett Wilson may suffer a bit, but overall the O should be better.
- RB Sean Tucker, TB – Tucker lit it up as the RB2 in that shootout in NO. If Rachad White returns, then Tucker may get back on the bench, but it is hard to argue with his production. I’ll be making a claim on him.
- RB Kimani Vidal, LAC – Vidal was active for the first time in Week 6 and he looked good with a TD catch. Dobbins is still the RB1, but he has never been healthy his entire career and Gus Edwards is on IR.
- TE Hunter Henry, NE – TE could not be any more abysmal this season, but with rookie QB Drake Maye under center in NE, he looked for Henry often and in the red zone for a TD. He is a great option against JAC in London.
Wegs Index After Week 6
The NFC North is on top of the Index after 6 Weeks – DET, GB and MIN at the very top followed by SF and even the Bears. Strength of Schedule is not a factor in the Index, but clearly the best teams at this stage are in the NFC.
Week 7 Key Matchups
- Texans at Packers (-3, 47.5 Total) – 10/20 at Noon Central on CBS – What a great inter-conference matchup!! The Pack got right against AZ on Sunday, but HOU’s D is legit. I think the injuries on O for Texans will hurt them long term – WR Nico Collins, however CJ Stroud can make players better around him. Still, the Pack are playing good on both sides of the ball. The line is right here – 3, so no real value either way. I think GB wins, Covers -3, Total Over 47.5.
- Lions at Vikings (-2.5, 49.5 Total) – 10/20 at Noon Central on FOX – A huge game in the NFC North, as the undefeated Vikings get their first test in the Division. I think MIN has played great, and the Lions have looked great in back to back games. I’m concerned about Hutchinson being out for the DET D, but I do think they are the better team. So, I’ll take DET, Cover +2.5, Total Over 49.5.
- Chiefs at 49ers (-1.5, 47 Total) – 10/20 at 3:25 PM Central on FOX – A SB Rematch in this one. SF finally got back on track on TNF, but the Chiefs are coming off the Bye. KC’s HC Andy Reid off the Bye has a supreme record, so that is big in this one. I haven’t been impressed by the Chiefs, despite the 5-0 record. SF at home being a -1.5 favorite tells you that KC is better on a neutral. I think the wrong team is favored in this one, Chiefs win, Cover +1.5, Under 47.
- Ravens at Bucs (+3.5, 48.5 Total) – 10/21 at 7:15 PM Central on ABC – The first MNF game is a good one with the Ravens trying to stay hot on the road at the Bucs. On its surface, it is arguable that BAL is the best team in the league right now. They are running the ball at will, and Lamar is having yet another MVP-caliber season. However, watch out for this TB Offense, who has been lighting the world on fire with 33, 30 and 51 points over the last 3 weeks. Now, their D has been less than stellar in that stretch, but if anyone can slow down the BAL run game, it is TB. I like TB to get the outright upset win, Cover +3.5, and Total surprisingly Under 48.5.
On to Week 7.
Wegs