Another unpredictable week leaves absolutely no dominant team this year.
5 Things I Learned in Week 10
- Patriots Are Legit – Ok, ok, I’ll give. The Patriots are going to make the playoffs and are good again. To be honest, I expected this last year, but with the opt outs, the D was not what it is this year. QB Mac Jones is not making a lot of mistakes, and their commitment to the run has created and old school team. They play hard for each other and still can win this division.
- Chiefs Can Still Score – When a team does not employ the Stop the Chiefs D, then QB Patrick Mahomes can dominate. The Raiders somehow didn’t watch the tape of the last 4 games and tried to blitz Mahomes, well 406 yards and 5 TDs later, the Chiefs are now back in 1st in the AFC West.
- Ties Suck – I’m not sure who’s bright idea it was to shorten OT to 10 Minutes and to not have teams play until someone wins, but this ain’t soccer. No one wants to see a Tie. I feel bad for the Lions who may not win a game, but they played well enough to win unfortunately they are still winless even with the tie versus the Steelers.
- Cardinals Magic Ended – After winning with Kyler Murray out, the Panthers came into Phoenix and destroyed the undermanned squad. Even Cam Newton got in the act with a rushing and passing TD in his first 2 plays on the field. I guess he was a good signing. He personally outscored the Cards on Sunday.
- Brady Stuggles Against Certain Teams – I mentioned this last week in the post and on our podcast, this WAS team has something on the Bucs. Their game plan or talent must just match up and get pressure on TB12. The Bucs went 3 and out, INT, INT in their first 3 possessions on Sunday and really never fully recovered.
Wegs Index After Week 10
- Bills 6-3 (1.83) – The Bills soft schedule has really bolstered their metrics this season. I’m looking forward to them against marquee match ups down the stretch to see if they can pass muster.
- Cardinals 8-2 (4.67) – Cards come crashing back to Earth. Without Kyler Murray, this team is pedestrian.
- Cowboys 7-2 (5.83) – The Boys bounced back big time on Sunday and I still like them going forward – again, despite Mike McCarthy.
- Patriots 6-4 (6.67) – Old school football still works in the NFL – ball control with a good D.
- Bucs 6-3 (7.50) – The Bucs have struggled in the middle of the season. Do they have another late run like last year?
- Rams 7-3 (8.67) – Classic paper tigers. They have lost badly in back to back games.
- Packers 8-2 (9.83) – The Pack’s D and not the O has been on point. They will be tested in MIN.
Marquee Games in Week 11
- Colts at Bills (-7, 50 Total) – Sunday, 11/21 at 12 Noon Central – A rematch of an epic playoff game last year, and I think both teams are playing really well. The Bills, on paper are the #1 D, but I like the Colts O now. I like the Colts and the Points here.
- Packers at Vikings (+2, 49 Total) – Sunday, 11/22 at 12 Noon Central – Surprised they didn’t flex this game to at least 4 PM, but this is a big game for the Vikings. They have lost too many close ones, and maybe they can’t win the NFC North, but if they get this one, they can still make the playoffs. I like the Vikes to win.
- Bengals at Raiders (+1, 49.5 Total) – Sunday, 11/21 at 3:05 PM Central – Two 5-4 teams square off with both teams flailing some despite being on top of the league early. I get the feeling that this is really a very early elimination game – why? Well, this one will matter in the tiebreakers come the end of the season. I was surprised how poorly the Raiders played versus KC. I do think the Bengals are the better team, but it should be a good one.
- Cowboys at Chiefs (-2.5, 56 Total) – Sunday, 11/21 at 3:25 PM Central – This was my 2020 predicted Super Bowl, but it seems like a possibility in 2021. The Cowboys have played well in big games so far, while the Chiefs D has improved. Maybe Mahomes found his mojo again, but I like the Boys here.
Enjoy Week 11.
Wegs