Sometimes you have a week where things go off the rails. Well, Week 4 was nuts – only 4 of 15 home teams won games. There were so many road wins, that it took the last 2 games to get to 4 – 11 as two of the first 13 games were won by home teams.
Week 4 Review
- Pats Survive Bills Slugfest – The Pats have been cruising all season with the top rated defense. However, the Bills have a defense, too. The Bills held QB Tom Brady in check – 150 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT. Yet, they still got the win, 16-10, with a punt block and TD that turned out to be the difference.
- Browns Roll Ravens – The Browns went to Baltimore and simply nuked the Ravens with 530 yards of total offense. RB Nick Chubb ran for 165 and 3 TDs, while QB Baker Mayfield passed for 342 and 1 TD in the 40-25 win.
- Bucs Light Up Rams in LA – The Bucs’ offense is hitting on all cylinders now, as QB Jameis Winston has back to back stellar performances – this time passing for 385 yards, 4 TDs, 1 INT. The Rams tried to keep up, as Jared Goff threw for 517 yards himself, but this high scoring affair was never in doubt, 55-40.
- Minshew Magic Is A Thing – The Jags may have found their QB of the futures, as Gardner Minshew has been making this team competitive every week. In this one, trailing the Broncos 17-3, the Jags fed RB Leonard Fournette 225 yards rushing, but it was Minshew who led a game winning drive in the final minutes to give the Jags the win, 26-24.
- Cam Who? – QB Kyle Allen goes to 2-0 as the starter, despite fumbling 3 times and throwing for just 232 yards. That Carolina defense beat up Texans’ QB Deshaun Watson, sacking him 6 times. The Panthers won 16-10.
- Injuries – There were several injuries in Week 4 – QB Josh Allen, BUF, Concussion; DE Bradley Chubb, DEN, Torn ACL (out for the year); DT Kawaan Short, CAR, Shoulder (IR); QB Mitch Trubisky, CHI, Shoulder; OT Tyron Smith, DAL, Ankle; RB Marlon Mack, IND, Ankle; K Stephen Gostkowski, NE, Hip (IR).
Wegs Index – Week 5
| OFF YD/G | PPG | DEF YD/G | PPG Ag | TO Diff | Cum. Rank | |
| Patriots | 362.3 | 30.5 | 243 | 6.8 | 6 | 4.0 |
| 49ers | 421 | 32 | 283.3 | 18 | -1 | 6.5 |
| Cowboys | 425.3 | 26.8 | 318.5 | 14 | -1 | 7.3 |
| Rams | 397.8 | 29.3 | 285.7 | 16.3 | -3 | 8.7 |
| Chiefs | 474.8 | 33.8 | 408.5 | 23.5 | 2 | 11.0 |
| Titans | 321.8 | 22.8 | 337 | 15.5 | 5 | 11.0 |
| Seahawks | 377.8 | 25.8 | 319 | 22.3 | 2 | 11.2 |
| Chargers | 403.8 | 22.5 | 331 | 18.5 | -1 | 11.5 |
| Packers | 337.8 | 21.3 | 330.3 | 17.3 | 4 | 11.7 |
| Ravens | 482.5 | 33.8 | 395.5 | 25 | 1 | 12.0 |
| Bears | 273.5 | 16.5 | 290.8 | 11.3 | 6 | 12.5 |
| Bills | 387.3 | 19 | 280.8 | 15.8 | -2 | 12.8 |
| Vikings | 324.3 | 21 | 312.8 | 15.8 | 0 | 12.8 |
| Panthers | 351.3 | 23.8 | 287.5 | 20 | -3 | 13.7 |
| Bucs | 386.8 | 30.8 | 377.5 | 29.3 | 3 | 14.5 |
| Browns | 380.3 | 22.3 | 335 | 22.8 | 1 | 14.8 |
| Lions | 387.5 | 24.3 | 405.5 | 23.8 | 2 | 15.5 |
| Texans | 329.3 | 19.5 | 363.5 | 19.5 | 2 | 16.3 |
| Jaguars | 364 | 21 | 366.3 | 21 | -1 | 16.5 |
| Eagles | 357.8 | 27.5 | 385.8 | 26.3 | 0 | 17.3 |
| Colts | 347.3 | 23.5 | 363 | 25.5 | 0 | 18.0 |
| Steelers | 283.5 | 19 | 375.3 | 22 | 4 | 18.8 |
| Saints | 321.3 | 21 | 391.3 | 23 | 2 | 19.3 |
| Giants | 403.3 | 21.8 | 389.3 | 24.3 | -5 | 20.0 |
| Falcons | 382.3 | 17.5 | 324.8 | 24.8 | -5 | 20.8 |
| Broncos | 349.3 | 17.5 | 349.3 | 23.3 | -5 | 21.8 |
| Raiders | 335.8 | 19.8 | 385.5 | 25.5 | -1 | 22.0 |
| Jets | 196.7 | 11 | 375.3 | 23.3 | 4 | 22.2 |
| Cardinals | 326.3 | 18.5 | 417.5 | 28.8 | -1 | 25.7 |
| Bengals | 306.5 | 14.3 | 386.3 | 27.5 | -5 | 28.0 |
| Redskins | 296.3 | 16.5 | 399.3 | 29.5 | -3 | 28.3 |
| Dolphins | 225 | 6.5 | 472 | 40.8 | -7 | 31.8 |
Top 5:
- Patriots – Still the class of the league on Defense Yards and Points Against, plus +6 Turnover Differential.
- 49ers – Maybe helped to sit out last week in all the craziness.
- Cowboys – Even after a loss, the Cowboys’ Defense not yielding a TD at NO keeps them in the Top 3.
- Rams – Their defense let up last week (and again tonight…), yet that offense is starting to heat up.
- Chiefs – That offense looked a bit stymied in Detroit, but a late drive got them the win. Still #1 in Offense in the NFL.
Week 5 Preview
- Bucs at Saints (-3, Total 46.5) – Sunday, October 6th at 1 PM Eastern/12 Noon Central on FOX – The Bucs enter the game on fire on offense, while the Saints defense played great on Sunday Night. I think the Bucs will relish the chance to take on the Saints without Brees and prevent a 3 game win streak in the Super Dome. Bucs will win S/U covering the spread and Over 46.5.
- Bills at Titans (-3, Total 38.5) – Sunday, October 6th at 1 PM Eastern/12 Noon Central on CBS – A low key Wild Card battle in early October in Nashville here, the winner will gain a big game in the tiebreaker category. I like the Bills if QB Josh Allen plays, but if not, the Titans will win S/U, Cover -3 and Under 38.5 (2 very tough defenses here).
- Packers at Cowboys (-3.5, Total 47) – Sunday, October at 4:25 PM Eastern/3:25 PM Central on FOX – The feature NFL day game (as there are only 2 games in the late time slot – bad scheduling) pits 2 division leaders in GB and DAL. The Pack have played better defensively this year, but the only way they get this one is with a weakened Cowboys’ O-line – both Tyron Smith and Lael Collins are questionable. I still like the Cowboys to win S/U, Cover -3.5 and Under the 47.
- Browns at 49ers (-4, Total 46.5) – Monday, October 7th at 8:15 PM Eastern/7:15 PM Central on ESPN – The 49ers are top of the Index, but even with the bye, I think the Browns are a step up in class of opponent. The 49ers defense will be tested both on the ground and through the air. I like the Browns to win S/U and Cover, Total Over 46.5.
Sorry for missing last week (and my draft last night got erased). Enjoy the games this week.
Wegs